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AFR article about Greg Moriarty

AFR article about Greg Moriarty

AFR has an article about Greg Moriarty by Michael Read, “Why Canberra has chosen this man to take over from Kevin Rudd”, in which many people extol Moriarty virtues. 

The one exception is Michael Shoebridge, who says:

 “He has been unwilling to bring the government to make the hard decisions. How can we have the government saying defence procurement is in such a mess that it needs the biggest shake-up in decades and the head of the department is an unalloyed high achiever? The two things don’t fit.” Shoebridge says Moriarty “has presided over the defence department for long enough to be fully accountable for its problems, and yet he seems to have escaped scot-free”. “He’s a bureaucrat who has done what his political masters directed at every stage of his career and has been rewarded for that.”

A public service colleague speaking on the condition of anonymity said there was a recent history of department’s bosses who excelled at policy and strategy but not at project delivery. “Greg is not a program guy,” they said. “He’s a superb geopolitical guy. But that’s not the same as when the minister says I need 100 missiles by Friday. He would understand why we’d need 100 missiles. He would be superb on the policy question of why we need 100 missiles by Friday. But he’s not the guy to push people hard, partly because of his character.”

In my varied career — Australia, Russia, China — in public service, business and academia, I have often come across people who confidently advocate some exceptional strategy but, when pressed, cannot clearly explain how it would work in practice. Examples include the role of monetary aggregates in Australian monetary policy, business taxation reform in the case of Tax Value Method (TVM), and IMF and “shock therapy” ideas for economic reform in Russia in the 1990s. 

I understand that one individual cannot have a good understanding of all aspects of an issue. But, often the big strategy-type people just do not want to accept that there may be problems with their ideas. It makes them uncomfortable — so best to dismiss such problems as “details”.

More generally, invading Iraq and building a new society there is an example!

In my view, this is a problem with AUKUS and why Moriarty is a bad choice for Ambassador to the USA. He is an enthusiastic advocate with little idea of the difficulties of practical application — particularly building nuclear submarines in Adelaide!

Jo Tarnawsky on Richard Marles USA Obsession!

Jo Tarnawsky on Richard Marles USA obsession!

“The walls of the defence minister’s parliamentary office are lined with his enlarged photographs of American landmarks. Shelves are devoted to US history and politics, topped with White House memorabilia and gift-boxed flags from the Pentagon. Richard Marles’s ministerial office in Geelong displays a framed certificate signed by the then Kentucky governor when Marles was commissioned a Kentucky colonel. Heavy volumes of American history and biographies of US political and military figures travel with Marles on his flights.”

Prior to being elected to parliament, Marles worked as a lawyer and trade union official. This obsession with the USA and narrow real world experience makes him ill-suited to independent thinking about the AUKUS submarine project. 

Australian defence officials and officers may be patriots but above all they want to play with expensive toys, wear nice uniforms, and if possible get an overseas trip and postings. Like Marles, they are generally not equipped for independent thinking. In most cases they chose the military specifically to avoid having to think independently, and were promoted because of their willingness to conform!

Anthony Albanese, as Prime Minister, presently sits above them all. But, like all of these people, he hardly has a brilliant mind or wide real world experince.

Combining the limited minds of Marles, Albanese and carear security and defence officials is a recipe for “group think”. 

These people are tying Australia to a defence strategy that may cost this country dearly in the future.

As far as I can tell, nobody has been able to identify an “independent expert” who believes it possible to build AUKUS nuclear submarines in Adelaide. On the contrary, there a plenty of doubters.